Welcome to the August recess!
After a long slog to pass President Donald Trump's "One Big, Beautiful Bill," a drawn-out fight about nominees and an impasse on how to handle the Jeffrey Epstein scandal, House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune cut the House and Senate loose to go back to their homes and constituents.
Midterms are always a referendum on the president and how unhappy voters are with him. Just ask Bill Clinton after 1994, George W. Bush after 2006, Barack Obama after 2010 and 2014 and, well, Trump after 2018.
Each time, the party outside of the White House flipped at least one chamber.
Trump knows this, which is why he wanted Texas Republicans to redraw their congressional districts, which led Democrats in the state house to decamp to blue states like Illinois and New York.
Meanwhile, Democrats hope to flip Senate seats in Maine and North Carolina, where they notched their dream candidate in former governor Roy Cooper. But Michigan's Senate race will likely serve as a proxy war for the Democratic Party's fight over Gaza.
Democrat Abdul El-Sayed spoke to Inside Washington co-author John Bowden, where he said of his party: "It's frustrating because these people made a calculated decision about who they needed and who they didn't. And it turns out that that decision was way off."
In Texas, Republicans hope to protect incumbent Sen. John Cornyn from a MAGA primary challenge by the scandal-ridden Attorney General Ken Paxton.
While Congress is away, Inside Washington focus on the most important races in 2025 and 2026 and what they mean for Donald Trump and 2028.
Read about the five Senate races most likely to flip here..
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