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🏠 Cheaper mortgages

Plus: 🔑 Higher home prices | Saturday, September 28, 2024
 
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Axios D.C.
By Brianna Crane and Sami Sparber · Sep 28, 2024

Hello, Saturday! We're talking about what lower mortgage rates mean for you.

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Today's newsletter is 396 words — a 1.5-minute read.

 
 
1 big thing: What lower rates mean
 
Illustration of a percentage sign seen through a magnifying glass.

Illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios

 

Those golden handcuffs aren't coming loose yet.

Why it matters: Easing mortgage rates offer house hunters some relief. But experts say it's going to take a bigger drop to revive the sluggish home market.

  • Rates need to move closer to 5% to bring those reluctant buyers and sellers off the sidelines, D.C. agent Avi Adler tells Axios.

What they're saying: "In 'my day,' you could buy a home that was three to five times your annual salary. You could stay in that 30% range for all housing costs," says DMV Compass agent Connie Carter. That's not the case today, especially in an urban market like Washington.

  • This environment is hardest on first-time buyers.

Yes, but: Cash buyers are less sensitive to rates.

The latest: Mortgage rates are hovering around 6%, and analysts don't expect them to fall much further after last week's interest rate cut.

  • Realtor.com chief economist Danielle Hale tells Axios she isn't expecting them to dip below 6% this year.

The bottom line: Record U.S. home prices and low inventory continue to sideline many shoppers. Plus, homeowners remain reluctant to give up their less expensive mortgages.

  • Nearly 86% of U.S. mortgage holders have a rate under 6%, per Redfin.

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2. About those prices
 
Line chart showing the median sale price for homes in the D.C. metro area from January 2019 to July 2024. In July 2024, local homes sold for about $575k, a 37% increase from the same month in 2019, and more expensive than the national median price of $439k.
Data: Redfin; Chart: Axios Visuals

Median D.C.-area home prices soared roughly 37% since July 2019, according to Redfin data.

Between the lines: Cheaper borrowing costs may boost the number of shoppers competing for houses.

Go deeper: What happens when you give people money to buy houses

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3. ☎️ Calling parents
 
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Illustration: Gabriella Turrisi/Axios

 

We want to hear if you're helping pay for your child's home.

Email realestate@axios.com with your name and neighborhood or hit reply. We may feature your insights in an upcoming newsletter.

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A message from Axios

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Our picks:

🤞 Sami is hoping to score a few reads on her wishlist at Half Price Books.

🎧 Bri is listening to her fall walk playlist.

Thanks to our editor Ashley May.

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