Driving rates are above pre-pandemic levels in almost every major U.S. metro — including Miami, a new analysis finds. Why it matters: The COVID-19 pandemic, when driving plummeted as people sought to "stop the spread," was a unique chance for cities to get a lasting handle on transportation-related emissions. Driving the news: Average daily vehicle miles traveled (VMT) per capita increased 12.3% across the 100 biggest U.S. metro areas this past spring compared to the same period in 2019. - That's according to a new report from StreetLight Data, a transportation analytics firm.
Zoom in: VMT per capita is up about 9.2% in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale metro. It's even higher elsewhere in the state: 24% in Tampa and Jacksonville, nearly 27% in Palm Bay-Melbourne and 37% in Lakeland. - The biggest increase in Florida: Cape Coral-Fort Myers at nearly 40%.
- Only three metros had bigger jumps: McAllen, Texas (67.6%); Boise City, Idaho (57.8%) and El Paso, Texas (+42%).
Data: StreetLight; Chart: Axios Visuals The other side: The metros with the biggest reductions in VMT per capita are concentrated in California, like Los Angeles (-16.6%), San Francisco (-13.2%) and San Jose (-12.3%). Between the lines: While higher VMT tends to mean more vehicle-related emissions, it can also be a sign of changes generally perceived as positive, like more economic activity. - Lower VMT can be a sign of successful public transit or cycling projects — or an indication that lots of people are still working hybrid or remotely.
Yes, but: "GDP now stands above 2019 levels even in the metros where VMT is still down," per StreetLight's report. - "This is a signal that GDP growth can be decoupled from VMT growth."
The bottom line: "It's not just that [VMT] is back up, but we're actually seeing a bit of an acceleration compared to the previous couple of years," Emily Adler, director of content at StreetLight, tells Axios. - "So that suggests that we're not peaking, that whatever efforts we've strived for to keep VMT down, they're not quite working — or they're not working yet."
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