Stocks hit fresh all-time highs even as President Trump's threatened tariffs loom over the economy.
• Economic resilience: Inflation rose 2.7% in June and the unemployment rate remains at 4.1%, underscoring a labor market that continues to expand.
• Earnings surprise: Major companies, from Alphabet to Netflix, have topped expectations, with executives in some cases raising their outlooks.
• Tariff rollbacks: A series of tariff delays and reductions—coined the "TACO trade"—has tempered initial market alarm, though commerce with China, Canada, Mexico and the EU remains unsettled.
Despite the rally, analysts warn that higher average tariffs (at 1930s highs), persistent Fed scrutiny and lofty valuations could still trigger a pullback.
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